1929, 1987, 1997 and 2008... What comes to mind when you remember
that key years? For sure, you remember the big financial crash, the
second financial crisis from USA, the Asiatic financial markets crash
and the last financial crisis symbolized by Lemon Brothers bankruptcy
(every body knows that the real root cause related to that crisis is the
sub-primes crisis which had been triggered by the US real estate market
in 2007)....
I read some papers and learned that some eminent
economists have foretold the coming financial crisis (I`m talking about
the financial crisis not the economic crisis, both concepts are
different) for this year... Did you notice why? Did you see any logic
behind the above progression? If you have eagle eyes, you certainly
noticed that the three last financial crises dates follow approximately
an arithmetical progression. In fact, we had that last 29 years a stock
market crash at least every 8 years, I mean 1987, 1997 and 2008. So,
since 2008+8= 2016, I do believe that specialists based their prediction
on that analysis. However, if this is accurate, why we did not have any
stock market crash between 1933 and 1987? (1971-1973 don`t deal with
any financial crisis, but, with the first oil shock)...
So, I will appreciate if anybody could help to demonstrate the fundamentals behind the economic cycle theory
NB:
For your information, the solution should be mathematically logic and
similar to the cycloid issue raised by B. Pascal few centuries ago. If
not, a significant change in the nature of the real worldwide economy
that last decades should be studied. .
Thank you
Le Tirshata
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